Since the middle of last season the Jazz have known that they need a point guard. The last couple were shoot first guards that didn’t run the team well. Fans and I think management want a point guard who passes first, runs the offense and hopefully plays decent defense. This brings us to now when the Jazz will have a chance to change that in the draft or in free agency. The Jazz have the 14th, 21st and 46th draft picks as well as lots of cash to make a move this offseason.
First thing you would expect the Jazz to do is take the best point guard available at 14 then go after somebody like Jack or Calderon in free agency. While this may be true it is more likely the Jazz go big at 14 and use 21 for point and here is my reasoning. The Jazz don’t see Shane Larkin or Dennis Schroeder as a starting point guard in the league and a guy like Zeller (maybe) or Olynyk or Gobert will be a better pick at 14. Chances are Olynyk and Gobert will both be gone by the Jazz’s 21st picks as they seem to be hovering around 10-18 in mock draft after team workouts. Zeller most likely will not be available when the Jazz draft, but if he is I’m 90% sure the Jazz would take him.
I know most fans want Larkin or Schroeder and they see them as the answer to our point guard situation but I’m starting to wonder if that is true. Larkin is very undersized and although that doesn’t matter as much for point guards it will still hurt him over the course of his career. Think of Larkin as DJ Augustin, solid backup but definitely not a starter. The two compare really well to each other which gives me doubts about Larkin. Schroeder is also very skinny for the position and has gotten comparisons to Rajon Rondo with a better shot. However his defense is porous at best and he temper might cause more problems than he is worth.
I’m not saying the Jazz will not take one of these two players but I will not be surprised one bit when we pass on them both and take one of the three bigs I mentioned earlier at 14. If this happens the most likely guy the Jazz will draft at 21 could be Isaiah Canaan or Nate Wolters. I know those names don’t scream out at you, but I still stand by my original thinking that Canaan will be a starter in this league and will be better than everyone but Trey Burke and CJ McCollum.
If all else fails the Jazz can always take Pierre Jackson at 46 from Baylor who plays almost exactly like Larkin without the hype surrounding him. Either way don’t be surprised when the Jazz don’t take a point guard at 14.